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Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and Patrick Mahomes are the names dominating MVP odds at sportsbooks like DraftKings—but betting value often lives outside the spotlight. This season, a handful of under-the-radar MVP candidates have the tools, storylines, and stat potential to shake up the race.
If you're looking for NFL futures bets with serious upside, these are five names you need to consider before the odds move.
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Hurts’ dual-threat stats (32 total TDs in 2024) get overlooked because of Philly’s stacked roster—and the dreaded "tush push" doesn't win MVP votes. But here’s what does:
If Hurts airs it out more and stays hot, he’s got a real shot at sneaking into MVP territory—especially if Philly overcomes adversity and he leads the charge.
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The second-half version of Love in 2024? That guy was elite. He posted a 119.9 passer rating across five games and showed serious deep-ball upside. With a revamped receiver room—including 1st-rounder Matthew Golden—and less drop issues, Love could explode.
If he puts together a full season of what we saw late last year, he’ll be in every MVP discussion by November.
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Murray’s talent isn’t in question—but health and consistency have been. Now with Marvin Harrison Jr. as a true WR1 and the Cardinals trending upward, the 27-year-old finally has a shot at a true breakout season.
He’s got the legs, arm, and storyline to become a sleeper MVP pick—especially if Arizona surprises in the NFC West.
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Nix looked like a seasoned vet in the final 10 games of his rookie campaign: 24 TDs to 7 INTs and a 105.7 passer rating. Even better? A 126.0 rating in the final three games.
With another year of development and improved chemistry with a young WR group, Nix could lead the Broncos to a resurgence—and himself to MVP candidacy.
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Running backs don’t win MVPs… unless they go nuclear. Barkley nearly did in 2024:
If Hurts misses time, or Barkley takes on even more volume, a historic season is in play. Think: Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing record. He’s a true dark horse MVP pick.
All five of these players offer high ceilings and long-shot value—especially with narratives already forming. The MVP race always has surprises. Bet the breakout before the breakout.